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My bracket is part of the bracket matrix.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/

** March 12th Bracketology** Updated 5:15pm ET

**FINAL BRACKET**

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Villanova

1

2

Kansas

1

3

Duke

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

North Carolina

2

6

Arizona

2

7

Kentucky

2

8

Oregon

3

9

UCLA

3

10

Baylor

3

11

Louisville

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Notre Dame

4

14

West Virginia

4

15

Florida

4

16

Purdue

5

17

Iowa State

5

18

Butler

5

19

Virginia

5

20

SMU

6

21

Michigan

6

22

Minnesota

6

23

Cincinnati

6

24

Wisconsin

7

25

Creighton

7

26

St. Mary's

7

27

Maryland

7

28

Miami (Fla.)

8

29

Virginia Tech

8

30

Northwestern

8

31

Seton Hall

8

32

Oklahoma State

9

33

Dayton

9

34

Xavier

9

35

South Carolina

9

36

Arkansas

10

37

Michigan State

10

38

Marquette

10

39

Wake Forest

10

40

VCU

11

41

Rhode Island

11

42

Wichita State

11a

43

Vanderbilt

11a

44

Kansas State

11a

45

Providence

11a

46

Southern California

12

47

Middle Tennessee

12

48

Nevada

12

49

UNC-Wilmington

12

50

Princeton

13

51

Vermont

13

52

E. Tennessee State

13

53

Bucknell

13

54

New Mexico State

14

55

Winthrop

14

56

Iona

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Northern Kentucky

15

59

Kent State

15

60

Troy

15

62

Texas Southern

15

63

South Dakota State

16

64

Jacksonville State

16

61

New Orleans

16a

65

North Dakota

16a

66

Mount St. Mary's

16a

67

UC Davis

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** March 12th Bracketology** Updated 8:00am ET

Random Comments:

-       Will be looking at this all day and some adjustments are possible before my final bracket. Will have final bracket out this afternoon before Selection Show.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Villanova

1

2

Kansas

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Duke

2

5

Gonzaga

2

6

Arizona

2

7

Kentucky

2

8

Oregon

3

9

UCLA

3

10

Baylor

3

11

Louisville

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Notre Dame

4

14

West Virginia

4

15

Florida

4

16

Purdue

5

17

Cincinnati

5

18

Iowa State

5

19

Butler

5

20

Virginia

6

21

Minnesota

6

22

Wisconsin

6

23

Michigan

6

24

SMU

7

25

Creighton

7

26

St. Mary's

7

27

Maryland

7

28

Miami (Fla.)

8

29

Virginia Tech

8

30

Northwestern

8

31

Seton Hall

8

32

Dayton

9

33

Oklahoma State

9

34

South Carolina

9

35

Xavier

9

36

Arkansas

10

37

Michigan State

10

38

Marquette

10

39

VCU

10

40

Wake Forest

11

41

Wichita State

11

42

Southern California

11a

43

Vanderbilt

11a

44

Kansas State

11a

45

Providence

11a

46

Rhode Island

12

47

Middle Tennessee

12

48

Nevada

12

49

UNC-Wilmington

12

50

Vermont

13

51

Princeton

13

52

E. Tennessee State

13

53

NMSU

13

54

Bucknell

14

55

Winthrop

14

56

Florida Gulf Coast

14

57

Iona

14

58

Northern Kentucky

15

59

Kent St

15

60

Texas Southern

15

62

Troy

15

63

South Dakota State

16

64

Jacksonville State

16

61

Mount St. Mary's

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

North Dakota

16a

67

UC Davis

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** March 11th Bracketology** Updated 8:00am ET

Random Comments:

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Villanova

1

2

Kansas

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Kentucky

2

7

Arizona

2

8

Duke

3

9

UCLA

3

10

Baylor

3

11

Louisville

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Notre Dame

4

14

West Virginia

4

15

Florida

4

16

Cincinnati

5

17

Purdue

5

18

Minnesota

5

19

Virginia

5

20

Butler

6

21

Iowa State

6

22

Wisconsin

6

23

Michigan

6

24

SMU

7

25

St. Mary's

7

26

Creighton

7

27

Maryland

7

28

Miami (Fla.)

8

29

Virginia Tech

8

30

Seton Hall

8

31

Northwestern

8

32

Dayton

9

33

South Carolina

9

34

Oklahoma State

9

35

Michigan State

9

36

Xavier

10

37

Marquette

10

38

Arkansas

10

39

VCU

10

40

Wake Forest

11

41

Wichita State

11

42

Southern California

11a

43

Vanderbilt

11a

44

Kansas State

11a

45

Providence

11a

46

Rhode Island

12

47

Middle Tennessee

12

48

Nevada

12

49

UNC-Wilmington

12

50

Texas-Arlington

13

51

Vermont

13

52

Princeton

13

53

E. Tennessee State

13

54

Akron

14

55

Bucknell

14

56

Winthrop

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Cal State Bakersfield

15

59

Iona

15

60

Northern Kentucky

15

62

UC Irvine

15

63

Texas Southern

16

64

South Dakota State

16

61

Jacksonville State

16a

65

Mount St. Mary's

16a

66

New Orleans

16a

67

North Dakota

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** March 10th Bracketology** Updated 9:00am ET

Random Comments:

-       Vanderbilt and Kansas St. move in to the bracket today while Iowa and Illinois move out. Kansas StateŐs and USCŐs spots in the bracket are probably safe, although I will be constantly looking at and possibly adjusting the next couple of days. That leaves two spots very much up for grabs Rhode IslandŐs and VanderbiltŐs. If Vanderbilt wins today against Florida, they could very possibly be the first 15 loss at-large team to make the field. A loss may not kill them thanks to their #1 NC SOS, although no team has ever made the field as an at-large team with a record less that 4 games above .500.

-       Wins today by California, Georgia, Indiana, or TCU could really make the bottom of the bubble very interesting and complicated.

First Four Out: California, Georgia, Indiana, Ole Miss

Next Four Out: TCU, Syracuse, Iowa, Illinois St.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Villanova

1

2

Kansas

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

UCLA

2

7

Kentucky

2

8

Arizona

3

9

Duke

3

10

Baylor

3

11

Louisville

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Florida

4

14

Purdue

4

15

West Virginia

4

16

Notre Dame

5

17

Cincinnati

5

18

Virginia

5

19

Butler

5

20

Minnesota

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

Wisconsin

6

24

SMU

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Michigan

7

27

Miami (Fla.)

7

28

Virginia Tech

8

29

Creighton

8

30

Seton Hall

8

31

South Carolina

8

32

Dayton

9

33

Michigan State

9

34

Oklahoma State

9

35

Northwestern

9

36

Xavier

10

37

Marquette

10

38

Wake Forest

10

39

Arkansas

10

40

VCU

11

41

Providence

11

42

Wichita State

11a

43

Southern California

11a

44

Kansas State

11a

45

Rhode Island

11a

46

Vanderbilt

12

47

Middle Tennessee

12

48

Nevada

12

49

UNC-Wilmington

12

50

Texas-Arlington

13

51

Vermont

13

52

Princeton

13

53

E. Tennessee State

13

54

Akron

14

55

Bucknell

14

56

Winthrop

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Cal State Bakersfield

15

59

Iona

15

60

Northern Kentucky

15

62

UC Irvine

15

63

Texas Southern

16

64

South Dakota State

16

61

Jacksonville State

16a

65

Mount St. Mary's

16a

66

New Orleans

16a

67

North Dakota

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** March 9th Bracketology** Updated 9:00am ET

Random Comments:

-       Syracuse lost their spot yesterday. Yes they have some great wins, but have 5 losses outside the top 100, no good wins away from home, and they have an RPI of 84. I would be shocked if they make it now.

-       After some examination, I decided to give their spot to Iowa. I am just not sure I will put Vanderbilt in unless they get to 4 games above .500, which means 2 wins in the SEC tourney. They begin that journey with Texas A&M today, and if they win they get Florida. Win both of those they are in. Win 1, they could still get it but would set the record for the worst winning % to get for an at-large bid. To do that you would need something very special, perhaps their NC SOS of #1 would be enough to justify it.

First Four Out: Kansas St., Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Ole Miss

Next Four Out: California, Georgia, Illinois St., Boise St.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Baylor

2

6

Oregon

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Arizona

3

11

Duke

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Florida

4

14

Virginia

4

15

Butler

4

16

Purdue

5

17

West Virginia

5

18

Minnesota

5

19

Cincinnati

5

20

Notre Dame

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

Wisconsin

6

24

SMU

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Miami (Fla.)

7

27

Michigan

7

28

Marquette

8

29

Oklahoma State

8

30

Virginia Tech

8

31

Seton Hall

8

32

Creighton

9

33

Northwestern

9

34

Michigan State

9

35

South Carolina

9

36

Dayton

10

37

Wake Forest

10

38

VCU

10

39

Providence

10

40

Xavier

11

41

Arkansas

11

42

Wichita State

11a

43

Southern California

11a

44

Rhode Island

11a

45

Illinois

11a

46

Iowa

12

47

Middle Tennessee

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Nevada

12

50

Texas-Arlington

13

51

Vermont

13

52

Princeton

13

53

E. Tennessee State

13

54

Bucknell

14

55

Winthrop

14

56

Akron

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Cal State Bakersfield

15

59

Iona

15

60

Northern Kentucky

15

62

Texas Southern

15

63

UC Irvine

16

64

South Dakota State

16

61

Jacksonville State

16a

65

Mount St. Mary's

16a

66

New Orleans

16a

67

North Dakota

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** March 8th Bracketology** Updated 7:00am ET

Random Comments:

First Four Out: Vanderbilt, Iowa, Kansas St., Ole Miss

Next Four Out: Georgia, California, Illinois St., Boise St.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Baylor

2

6

Oregon

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Arizona

3

11

Duke

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Florida

4

14

Virginia

4

15

Butler

4

16

Purdue

5

17

West Virginia

5

18

Minnesota

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

Wisconsin

6

24

Maryland

7

25

SMU

7

26

Miami (Fla.)

7

27

Michigan

7

28

Marquette

8

29

Oklahoma State

8

30

Northwestern

8

31

Virginia Tech

8

32

Seton Hall

9

33

Creighton

9

34

Michigan State

9

35

Wake Forest

9

36

South Carolina

10

37

Dayton

10

38

VCU

10

39

Providence

10

40

Xavier

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Arkansas

11a

43

Syracuse

11

44

Wichita State

11a

45

Rhode Island

11a

46

Illinois

12

47

Nevada

12

48

Middle Tennessee

12

49

UNC-Wilmington

12

50

Texas-Arlington

13

51

Vermont

13

52

Princeton

13

53

E. Tennessee State

13

54

Winthrop

14

55

Bucknell

14

56

Akron

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Cal State Bakersfield

15

59

Iona

15

60

Northern Kentucky

15

62

Texas Southern

15

63

UC Irvine

16

64

Jacksonville State

16

61

South Dakota St

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

North Dakota

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** March 7th Bracketology** Updated 6:30am ET

Random Comments:

First Four Out: Vanderbilt, Iowa, Kansas St., Ole Miss

Next Four Out: Georgia, California, Illinois St., Boise St.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Baylor

2

6

Oregon

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Arizona

3

11

Duke

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Florida

4

14

Virginia

4

15

Butler

4

16

Purdue

5

17

West Virginia

5

18

Minnesota

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

Wisconsin

6

24

Maryland

7

25

SMU

7

26

Miami (Fla.)

7

27

Michigan

7

28

Marquette

8

29

Oklahoma State

8

30

Northwestern

8

31

Virginia Tech

8

32

Seton Hall

9

33

Creighton

9

34

Michigan State

9

35

Wake Forest

9

36

South Carolina

10

37

Dayton

10

38

VCU

10

39

Providence

10

40

Xavier

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Arkansas

11a

43

Syracuse

11

44

Wichita State

11a

45

Rhode Island

11a

46

Illinois

12

47

Nevada

12

48

Middle Tennessee

12

49

UNC-Wilmington

12

50

Texas-Arlington

13

51

Vermont

13

52

Princeton

13

53

E. Tennessee State

13

54

Winthrop

14

55

Bucknell

14

56

Akron

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Cal State Bakersfield

15

59

Iona

15

60

Northern Kentucky

15

61

Omaha

15

62

Texas Southern

16

63

UC Irvine

16

64

Jacksonville State

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

North Dakota

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** March 6th Bracketology** Updated 10:00am ET

Random Comments:

-       Wichita StateŐs win knocks Illinois State out of my bracket, replaced with Illinois. The conference tournaments in the ACC, SEC and B1G loom large for bubble teams. Particularly Syracuse, Illinois, Vanderbilt, Iowa, Ole Miss, Georgia, and Alabama. Wake Forest is probably safe even with a loss to lowly BC, but a win there would certainly leave little doubt. Also Rhode Island, Kansas State, and California need to probably pick up a quality win or two in their conference tournaments.

First Four Out: Vanderbilt, Iowa, Kansas St., Ole Miss

Next Four Out: Georgia, California, Illinois St., Boise St.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Baylor

2

6

Oregon

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Arizona

3

11

Duke

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Florida

4

14

Virginia

4

15

Butler

4

16

Purdue

5

17

West Virginia

5

18

Minnesota

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

Wisconsin

6

24

Maryland

7

25

SMU

7

26

Miami (Fla.)

7

27

Michigan

7

28

Marquette

8

29

Oklahoma State

8

30

Northwestern

8

31

Virginia Tech

8

32

Seton Hall

9

33

Creighton

9

34

Michigan State

9

35

Wake Forest

9

36

South Carolina

10

37

Dayton

10

38

VCU

10

39

Providence

10

40

Xavier

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Arkansas

11a

43

Syracuse

11

44

Wichita State

11a

45

Rhode Island

11a

46

Illinois

12

47

Nevada

12

48

Middle Tennessee

12

49

UNC-Wilmington

12

50

Texas-Arlington

13

51

Vermont

13

52

Princeton

13

53

E. Tennessee State

13

54

Winthrop

14

55

Bucknell

14

56

Akron

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Cal State Bakersfield

15

59

Iona

15

60

Northern Kentucky

15

61

South Dakota

15

62

Texas Southern

16

63

UC Irvine

16

64

Jacksonville State

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

North Dakota

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** March 5th Bracketology** Updated 8:00am ET

Random Comments:

-       Illinois falls out of the bracket after their terrible loss to Rutgers yesterday. Wichita State moves in despite their bland profile. Illinois can still move back in with a good performance in the B1G tournament.

-       Wake Forest picked up a huge win on the road against Virginia Tech and they are probably safe. However, they need to avoid a loss to BC in the 1st round of the ACC tournament to be perfectly safe.

First Four Out: Illinois, Kansas St, Vanderbilt, Ole Miss

Next Four Out: Georgia, California, Iowa, Boise St.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Baylor

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Arizona

3

11

Duke

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Florida

4

14

Virginia

4

15

West Virginia

4

16

Butler

5

17

Minnesota

5

18

Purdue

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

SMU

6

24

Maryland

7

25

Wisconsin

7

26

Miami (Fla.)

7

27

Michigan

7

28

Northwestern

8

29

Marquette

8

30

Oklahoma State

8

31

Seton Hall

8

32

Creighton

9

33

Virginia Tech

9

34

Dayton

9

35

VCU

9

36

Michigan State

10

37

South Carolina

10

38

Wake Forest

10

39

Providence

10

40

Arkansas

11

41

Xavier

11a

42

Southern California

11a

43

Syracuse

11a

44

Rhode Island

11a

45

Wichita State

11

46

Nevada

12

47

Middle Tennessee

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Illinois State

12

50

Texas-Arlington

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Vermont

13

53

Princeton

13

54

E. Tennessee State

14

55

Winthrop

14

56

Bucknell

14

57

Akron

14

58

Florida Gulf Coast

15

59

Cal State Bakersfield

15

60

Northern Kentucky

15

61

South Dakota

15

62

Texas Southern

16

63

UC Irvine

16

64

Jacksonville State

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

North Dakota

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** March 4th Bracketology** Updated 7:00am ET

Random Comments:

-       Only change was to replace Belmont with UT-Martin this morning. Obviously, a great day of college basketball up today.

First Four Out: California, Wichita St., Ohio St., Kansas St.

Next Four Out: Georgia, Iowa, TCU, Georgia Tech

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Baylor

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Duke

3

11

Florida

3

12

Arizona

4

13

Butler

4

14

Florida State

4

15

Virginia

4

16

West Virginia

5

17

Minnesota

5

18

Purdue

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

SMU

6

24

Miami (Fla.)

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Creighton

7

27

Dayton

7

28

Virginia Tech

8

29

Wisconsin

8

30

Michigan State

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

Michigan

9

33

South Carolina

9

34

Northwestern

9

35

VCU

9

36

Seton Hall

10

37

Marquette

10

38

Xavier

10

39

Arkansas

10

40

Providence

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Syracuse

11a

43

Wake Forest

11a

44

Illinois

11a

45

Rhode Island

11

46

Middle Tennessee

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Princeton

14

55

Winthrop

14

56

E. Tennessee State

14

57

Akron

14

58

Florida Gulf Coast

15

59

Bucknell

15

60

Cal State Bakersfield

15

61

South Dakota

15

62

UT-Martin

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

Eastern Washington

16a

65

UC Irvine

16a

66

Mount St. Mary's

16a

67

New Orleans

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** March 3rd Bracketology** Updated 9:30am ET

Random Comments:

-       California drops out of my bracket with their blowout loss to Utah last night. The Bears resume just isnŐt that impressive with only 1 top 50 win and 4 top 100 wins. They have one loss just outside the top 100 to San Diego State and a NC SOS of 47. Their resume is the definition of one that is very bland with little exciting elements to it. They likely need to win at dangerous Colorado this weekend and need at least a trip to the PAC-12 semis if not the championship game to make the field.

-       Iowa has won at Maryland and at Wisconsin in the last week to come from the dead to the bubble conversation. Iowa has 5 top 50 wins and 8 top 100 wins which is more then enough quality wins. Their downside is their bad overall record of 17-13, mediocre RPI of 73, and 2 losses outside the top 100 (#117 Memphis on a neutral floor, and home to #140 Nebraska Omaha). The Hawkeyes get Penn State at home to close the season and have to have that to stay alive for an at-large bid. A trip to the B1G tourney semifinals may be enough to have Iowa in a serious conversation about an at-large bid.

-       Some interesting conference tournaments teams kick off play today. Most importantly for bubble teams the MVC quarterfinals with Wichita State and Illinois State in action. Although, I personally wouldnŐt include either as an at-large if they lose today, other bracketologists are committed to keeping Wichita State in their bracket no matter what. So bubble nation should pull for an early loss for Illinois State to completely remove them from the bubble picture and then for Wichita State to win the tournament.

First Four Out: California, Wichita St., Ohio St., Kansas St.

Next Four Out: Georgia, Iowa, TCU, Georgia Tech

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Baylor

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Duke

3

11

Florida

3

12

Arizona

4

13

Butler

4

14

Florida State

4

15

Virginia

4

16

West Virginia

5

17

Minnesota

5

18

Purdue

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

SMU

6

24

Miami (Fla.)

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Creighton

7

27

Dayton

7

28

Virginia Tech

8

29

Wisconsin

8

30

Michigan State

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

Michigan

9

33

South Carolina

9

34

Northwestern

9

35

VCU

9

36

Seton Hall

10

37

Marquette

10

38

Xavier

10

39

Arkansas

10

40

Providence

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Syracuse

11a

43

Wake Forest

11a

44

Illinois

11a

45

Rhode Island

11

46

Middle Tennessee

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Princeton

14

55

Belmont

14

56

Winthrop

14

57

E. Tennessee State

14

58

Akron

15

59

Florida Gulf Coast

15

60

Bucknell

15

61

Cal State Bakersfield

15

62

South Dakota

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

Eastern Washington

16a

65

UC Irvine

16a

66

Mount St. Mary's

16a

67

New Orleans

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** March 2nd Bracketology** Updated 11:30am ET

Random Comments:

-       An enormous win last night by Wake Forest over Louisville moves them into the bracket today. However, keep in mind, Wake Forest, Syracuse, and Illinois all have poor overall record which means they have little room for error. A win on the road against Virginia Tech Saturday would make Wake Forest a near lock. Illinois must avoid a loss @ Rutgers (RPI #177) to keep their spot. A win there would have them in going into the B1G tourney where they would be encouraged to pick up one more win to feel real good.

First Four Out: Rhode Island, Wichita St., Ohio St., Kansas St.

Next Four Out: Georgia, TCU, Georgia Tech, Alabama

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Baylor

2

7

Louisville

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Duke

3

11

Florida

3

12

Arizona

4

13

Butler

4

14

Florida State

4

15

Virginia

4

16

West Virginia

5

17

Minnesota

5

18

Purdue

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

SMU

6

24

Miami (Fla.)

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Creighton

7

27

Dayton

7

28

Virginia Tech

8

29

Wisconsin

8

30

Michigan State

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

Michigan

9

33

South Carolina

9

34

Northwestern

9

35

VCU

9

36

Seton Hall

10

37

Marquette

10

38

Xavier

10

39

Arkansas

10

40

Providence

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Syracuse

11a

43

Wake Forest

11a

44

Illinois

11a

45

California

11

46

Middle Tennessee

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Princeton

14

55

Belmont

14

56

E. Tennessee State

14

57

UNC-Asheville

14

58

Akron

15

59

Florida Gulf Coast

15

60

Bucknell

15

61

Cal State Bakersfield

15

62

South Dakota

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

North Dakota

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

UC Irvine

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** March 1st Bracketology** Updated 10:00am ET

Random Comments:

 

First Four Out: Wichita St., Ohio St., Kansas St., Wake Forest

Next Four Out: TCU, Georgia, Ole Miss, Boise St.

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Louisville

2

7

Baylor

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Duke

3

11

Florida

3

12

Arizona

4

13

Butler

4

14

Florida State

4

15

Virginia

4

16

West Virginia

5

17

Minnesota

5

18

Purdue

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Iowa State

6

23

SMU

6

24

Miami (Fla.)

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Creighton

7

27

Michigan State

7

28

Virginia Tech

8

29

Wisconsin

8

30

Michigan

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

South Carolina

9

33

Dayton

9

34

Xavier

9

35

VCU

9

36

Northwestern

10

37

Providence

10

38

Arkansas

10

39

Seton Hall

10

40

Marquette

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Syracuse

11

43

Middle Tennessee

11a

44

Illinois

11a

45

Rhode Island

11a

46

California

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Princeton

14

55

Belmont

14

56

E. Tennessee State

14

57

UNC-Asheville

14

58

Akron

15

59

Florida Gulf Coast

15

60

Bucknell

15

61

Cal State Bakersfield

15

62

South Dakota

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

North Dakota

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

UC Irvine

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** February 28th Bracketology** Updated 10:00am ET

Random Comments:

 

First Four Out: Wichita St., Kansas St., Vanderbilt, Wake Forest

Next Four Out: TCU, Georgia, Ole Miss, Indiana

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Louisville

2

7

Baylor

2

8

UCLA

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Florida

3

11

Arizona

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Butler

4

14

Duke

4

15

Virginia

4

16

West Virginia

5

17

Minnesota

5

18

Purdue

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

SMU

6

23

Miami (Fla.)

6

24

Iowa State

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Creighton

7

27

Michigan State

7

28

Virginia Tech

8

29

Wisconsin

8

30

Michigan

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

South Carolina

9

33

Dayton

9

34

Xavier

9

35

VCU

9

36

Northwestern

10

37

Providence

10

38

Arkansas

10

39

Seton Hall

10

40

Marquette

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Syracuse

11

43

Middle Tennessee

11a

44

Illinois

11a

45

Rhode Island

11a

46

California

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Princeton

14

55

Belmont

14

56

E. Tennessee State

14

57

Akron

14

58

UNC-Asheville

15

59

Florida Gulf Coast

15

60

Bucknell

15

61

Cal State Bakersfield

15

62

South Dakota

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

North Dakota

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

UC Irvine

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

** February 27th Bracketology** Updated 10:00am ET

Random Comments:

- Illinois moved into my bracket this morning. Their overall record is bad at only 16-12 which historically the absolute bottom for an at-large team (4 games above .500). However, 4 RPI top 50 wins, 0 losses outside the top 100, and NC SOS of 37 are nice tools in their belt.  Wichita State vs California for the final at-large spot is an interesting comparison. Cal only has one win over a likely NCAA at-large team, @ USC who is sliding down the bracket themselves. Wichita State has no wins over likely at-large teams, however they have a gaudy record at 26-4, a respectable RPI of 40, and all 4 of their losses are in the top 50. Wichita States at-large case is stronger than Illinois St,  so if Wichita wins the MVC tourney it likely wont matter anyway as I donŐt see Illinois State getting an at-large. Cal is going to be very bubbly going into the PAC-12 tourney and may need to upset one of the top teams to keep an at-large spot.

 

First Four Out: Wichita St., Kansas St., Vanderbilt, Wake Forest

Next Four Out: TCU, Georgia, Ole Miss, Indiana

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Louisville

2

7

UCLA

2

8

Baylor

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Florida

3

11

Arizona

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Butler

4

14

Duke

4

15

West Virginia

4

16

Minnesota

5

17

Virginia

5

18

Purdue

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Cincinnati

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

SMU

6

23

Miami (Fla.)

6

24

Iowa State

7

25

Maryland

7

26

Creighton

7

27

Michigan State

7

28

Wisconsin

8

29

Michigan

8

30

Virginia Tech

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

South Carolina

9

33

Dayton

9

34

Xavier

9

35

VCU

9

36

Northwestern

10

37

Providence

10

38

Arkansas

10

39

Seton Hall

10

40

Marquette

11

41

Southern California

11a

42

Syracuse

11

43

Middle Tennessee

11a

44

Illinois

11a

45

Rhode Island

11a

46

California

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Princeton

14

55

Belmont

14

56

E. Tennessee State

14

57

Akron

14

58

Florida Gulf Coast

15

59

UNC-Asheville

15

60

Bucknell

15

61

Cal State Bakersfield

15

62

South Dakota

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

North Dakota

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

UC Irvine

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** February 26th Bracketology** Updated 9:30am ET

Random Comments:

- Kansas State drops out with their loss yesterday with Rhode Island moving after beating VCU giving them their 2nd RPI top 25 win.

- I decided to keep Gonzaga as the 4th #1 seed despite their loss last night to BYU.  Oregon is certainly close and could overtake them if they win out.

- Vanderbilt is going to be an interesting case. They have the nationŐs toughest NC SOS of 1 and enough quality wins but a record of 16-13. As I have said before the worst record to make the tourney as an at-large is 4 games above .500. Vandy finishes with Florida and Kentucky. They probably need a split and one win in the SEC tourney to get in based on history.

 

First Four Out: Kansas St., Vanderbilt, Wake Forest, TCU

Next Four Out: Illinois, Georgia, Ole Miss, Indiana

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

North Carolina

1

4

Gonzaga

2

5

Oregon

2

6

Louisville

2

7

UCLA

2

8

Baylor

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Florida

3

11

Arizona

3

12

Florida State

4

13

Butler

4

14

Duke

4

15

West Virginia

4

16

Minnesota

5

17

Cincinnati

5

18

Virginia

5

19

Purdue

5

20

Notre Dame

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

SMU

6

23

Miami (Fla.)

6

24

Iowa State

7

25

Wisconsin

7

26

Maryland

7

27

Creighton

7

28

Virginia Tech

8

29

Michigan

8

30

Oklahoma State

8

31

Xavier

8

32

Dayton

9

33

South Carolina

9

34

VCU

9

35

Michigan State

9

36

Northwestern

10

37

Arkansas

10

38

Southern California

10

39

Providence

10

40

Marquette

11

41

Syracuse

11a

42

Seton Hall

11

43

Middle Tennessee

11a

44

California

11a

45

Wichita State

11a

46

Rhode Island

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Princeton

14

55

Belmont

14

56

E. Tennessee State

14

57

Akron

14

58

Florida Gulf Coast

15

59

UNC-Asheville

15

60

Bucknell

15

61

Cal State Bakersfield

15

62

South Dakota

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

North Dakota

16a

65

New Orleans

16a

66

UC Irvine

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

 

** February 24th Bracketology** Updated 10:00am ET

 

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

Gonzaga

1

4

North Carolina

2

5

Baylor

2

6

Oregon

2

7

Arizona

2

8

Louisville

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Florida

3

11

Butler

3

12

Duke

4

13

UCLA

4

14

Florida State

4

15

Purdue

4

16

West Virginia

5

17

Cincinnati

5

18

Minnesota

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

St. Mary's

6

21

Virginia

6

22

Maryland

6

23

SMU

6

24

Wisconsin

7

25

Creighton

7

26

VCU

7

27

Northwestern

7

28

Miami (Fla.)

8

29

Virginia Tech

8

30

Iowa State

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

Xavier

9

33

Dayton

9

34

South Carolina

9

35

Michigan State

9

36

Arkansas

10

37

Michigan

10

38

Southern California

10

39

Marquette

10

40

Syracuse

11

41

Providence

11a

42

Seton Hall

11a

43

Kansas State

11

44

Middle Tennessee

11a

45

Wichita State

11a

46

California

12

47

Nevada

12

48

UNC-Wilmington

12

49

Texas-Arlington

12

50

Illinois State

13

51

Monmouth

13

52

Valparaiso

13

53

Vermont

13

54

Belmont

14

55

Akron

14

56

E. Tennessee State

14

57

Florida Gulf Coast

14

58

Princeton

15

59

UNC-Asheville

15

60

Bucknell

15

61

Cal State Bakersfield

15

62

North Dakota State

16

63

Texas Southern

16

64

New Orleans

16a

65

North Dakota

16a

66

UC Irvine

16a

67

Mount St. Mary's

16a

68

North Carolina Central

 

First Four Out: Wake Forest, TCU, Rhode Island, Ole Miss

Next Four Out: Boise St., Georgia Tech, Illinois, Houston

 

** February 23rd Bracketology** Updated 10:00am ET


Random Comments:

- Syracuse moves in with their big win over Duke last night. They still have a bad RPI of 78, highest ever for an at-large was 72 by Syracuse last year! But they have 3 RPI top 25 wins, and 6 RPI top 50 wins which sets them way apart from other bubble teams. The bad losses will be an anchor, but a 1-1 finish would probably lock it up for the Orange.

- Providence has a similar resume as Syracuse. RPI slightly better at 54. But 3 losses outside the top 100, 2 outside top 200! But 2 RPI top 25 wins, 6 RPI top 50 wins, and they have something Syracuse doesnŐt have a really good road win which they picked up last night @ Creighton. Like with Syracuse, the bad losses are an anchor that isnŐt going away, but the wins are very nice. They have a schedule where they could go 3-0, but two of the three games are to teams with RPIs greater than 100. They cannot afford another bad loss this time of year.

 

First Four Out: Wake Forest, TCU, Rhode Island, Ole Miss

Next Four Out: Boise St., Georgia Tech, Illinois, Houston

Seed

Power

Team

1

1

Kansas

1

2

Villanova

1

3

Gonzaga

1

4

North Carolina

2

5

Baylor

2

6

Oregon

2

7

Arizona

2

8

Louisville

3

9

Kentucky

3

10

Florida

3

11

Butler

3

12

Duke

4

13

UCLA

4

14

Florida State

4

15

Purdue

4

16

West Virginia

5

17

Cincinnati

5

18

Minnesota

5

19

Notre Dame

5

20

Wisconsin

6

21

St. Mary's

6

22

Virginia

6

23

Maryland

6

24

SMU

7

25

Creighton

7

26

VCU

7

27

Northwestern

7

28

Miami (Fla.)

8

29

Virginia Tech

8

30

Iowa State

8

31

Oklahoma State

8

32

Xavier

9

33